Tropical Cyclone Debbie has formed in the Coral Sea.
kiwijims said
06:39 PM Mar 25, 2017
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 6 Issued at 5:27 pm EST on Saturday 25 March 2017
Tropical Cyclone Debbie is expected to cross the coast between Townsville and Proserpine on Tuesday morning, most likely as a CATEGORY 4 tropical cyclone, with wind gusts up to 260 kilometres per hour near the centre.
K.J.
Happywanderer said
08:04 PM Mar 25, 2017
Do they say how far inland those high winds and heavy rain are likely to reach kiwijims?
kiwijims said
10:09 PM Mar 25, 2017
Happywanderer wrote:
Do they say how far inland those high winds and heavy rain are likely to reach kiwijims?
At this stage there is a lot of speculation on that score Happywanderer,
All I've seen so far is this comment...........
Tuesday. Major river flooding may also develop over a broad area next week and a Flood Watch is current for coastal catchments between Cairns and Gladstone, extending inland to the eastern Gulf River catchments.
Nothing stated so far regarding wind .inland.
Dunmowin said
10:15 PM Mar 25, 2017
We are moving from Mackay to Moranbah tomorrow to be away from the storm. Will sit it out there before heading to Townsville which ever way we can.
brickies said
10:32 PM Mar 25, 2017
The cyclone that hit Innisfail did heavy damage on the Atherton Tableland . So you can't be sure , I would head north of the danger zone not west or south .
kiwijims said
10:52 PM Mar 25, 2017
Latest wind maps shows Charter Towers will cop a direct hit, with winds of over 70 kph on Tue 28th at 2300 hrs,
this of course can change anytime with the Cyclone likely to change it's mind, that's why it's named after a woman !!!
Dunmowin said
11:06 PM Mar 25, 2017
kiwijims wrote:
Cyclone likely to change it's mind, that's why it's named after a woman !!!
Careful Jim, they alternate these days. What did happen to Caleb? He sort of petered out.....
Dunmowin said
11:08 PM Mar 25, 2017
brickies wrote:
The cyclone that hit Innisfail did heavy damage on the Atherton Tableland . So you can't be sure , I would head north of the danger zone not west or south .
From Mackay, we don't have a big choice. We don't have the time to go direct north, With the caravan on, we cant go through Eugella NP, have to go south west to Moranbah/Clermont thence to Charters Towers.
brickies said
11:24 PM Mar 25, 2017
Clermont would be worth a go if you had to , You would have plenty of warning if if were to head Mackay way .
Dunmowin said
11:29 PM Mar 25, 2017
Thanks brickies, we have local advise, and are still looking at Moranbah. If you could see our current location.... anything would be better.
Tomorrow morning's predictions will help us decide.
-- Edited by Dunmowin on Saturday 25th of March 2017 11:30:28 PM
Thanks for the updates. I'm at Monto at the moment. The caretaker here when I said I was heading to Sapphire, suggested I hold back for a while as the heavy rain could bring flash flooding in that an cq area.
Trying to work out where there's a camp on high ground where I would be comfortable for about a week.
He said even here in Monto has flooded with the rain from previous cyclones.
Happywanderer said
12:31 AM Mar 26, 2017
I'm thinking Lawgi Hall might be my best bet. Set high up so won't get flooded out. Near Biloela.
chappy said
01:22 AM Mar 26, 2017
Please everyone who may be affected. This is a serious cyclone. Check BOM for previous cyclone data. Currently in Cairns just a beautiful evening. And many southern places are the same. Complacency is dangerous.
chappy said
01:25 AM Mar 26, 2017
Forrgo
Please everyone who may be affected. This is a serious cyclone. Check BOM for previous cyclone data. Currently in Cairns just a beautiful evening. And many southern places are the same. Complacency is dangerous.
chappy said
01:30 AM Mar 26, 2017
We are Cairns locals wanting to go South next week! Smart enough to delay if necessary our travels. Mother Nature is a powerful force. Stay safe fellow travellers.
bill12 said
05:54 AM Mar 26, 2017
Tuesday mornind is HIGH TIDE, so the storm surge could be devistating. Its 3.67m at 9am here on Magnetic isand. Add 3m of storm surge, and we have problems......Sincerely hope it doesn't come here.I,ve done all the prep, and I live high up , so its just wait and see.(and ckeck my insurance)............
Kebbin said
09:50 AM Mar 26, 2017
You shouldn't take the warnings lightly, just remember the destruction of Yashi & Larry. Those of us in coastal areas in the south have probably only faced a east coast low and they by themselves are destructive (Newcastle region 2014) a cyclone is 4-5 times worst. Current warnings are flooding from Cairns to Gladstone, not to mention days of a high intensity low afterwards aswell as towns as far west as Charters Towers still expecting the effect of a low level cyclone.
Bom Watch Zone remaining coastal areas from Cairns to Ayr including Innisfail and Townsville, extending inland to Charters Towers and Mount Coolon
-- Edited by Kebbin on Sunday 26th of March 2017 09:51:06 AM
Moorey said
02:00 PM Mar 26, 2017
For those travelling in North Queensland and have limited data resources I have copied three projected cyclone positions, two with projected position, winds and rainfall on Tuesday.
Projected position of cyclone 4pm Monday 27th
Rain Area on Tuesday morning at 4am and 10am
Projected cyclone position and wind strengths on Tuesday morning at 4am and 10am
Details of Tropical Cyclone Debbie at 1:00 pm AEST: Intensity: Category 2, sustained winds near the centre of 110 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 155 kilometres per hour. Location: within 30 kilometres of 18.2 degrees South 151.2 degrees East, estimated to be 475 kilometres east northeast of Townsville and 370 kilometres east northeast of Bowen. Movement: west southwest at 8 kilometres per hour.
K.J.
Cruising Cruze said
08:01 PM Mar 26, 2017
Lets hope that it will go down in strength
Feel sorry for the poor buggers that live there
you can do things against cold and heat but nothing against mother nature
kiwijims said
12:01 PM Mar 27, 2017
So just to recap, here are some of those areas that are at risk in the event of a storm surge. Check your local council website for more maps to make sure you're not in one of those areas. Police and emergency services have also been going door to door to evacuate people, so you should know if you need to leave.
Take care People.
K.J.
brickies said
03:00 PM Mar 27, 2017
Eye now heading for south of Bowen near Dingo Beach .
kiwijims said
03:21 PM Mar 27, 2017
brickies wrote:
Eye now heading for south of Bowen near Dingo Beach .
Yep, then they reckon it will go inland and turn left, then track straight down to Brisbane !!!
K.J.
brickies said
04:27 PM Mar 27, 2017
Has I said early on always head north of a cyclone not south or west
kiwijims said
07:35 PM Mar 27, 2017
brickies wrote:
Has I said early on always head north of a cyclone not south or west
This might put a dent in you're theory brickies.............
North Tropical Coast and Tablelands Forecast District.
Issued at 5:16 pm Monday, 27 March 2017.
Synoptic Situation:
As Severe Tropical Cyclone Debbie crosses the central east coast of Queensland, a strong westerly airflow will develop across the North Tropical Coast district.
Strong and gusty westerly winds will develop during early Tuesday morning with damaging wind gusts in excess of 90km/hr possible in areas east of the Atherton Tablelands.
Locations which may be affected include Cairns, Redlynch, Innisfail, Tully, Gordonvale and Babinda.
K.J.
brickies said
07:54 PM Mar 27, 2017
Mate that strong winds not the cyclone .
kiwijims said
08:22 PM Mar 27, 2017
More worries, just received an Email from my Brother, he is currently on the coast, about a couple of hundred clicks, South of the predicted landfall of this Cyclone, they are in their caravan,
He's a bit too complacent about the danger of this Cyclone, reckons "She'll be right" they are heading inland tomorrow !!!
I hope we hear from them again !!!!
K.J.
Happywanderer said
09:39 PM Mar 27, 2017
If they are heading inland that's the best they can do. Better than staying on the coast.
Although it hits land tomorrow morning some inland towns eg Emerald won't get rain till Thursday so they've got plenty of time to find a safe place.
Kebbin said
12:13 PM Mar 28, 2017
Hate to spoil your day Wanderer, but I think you are going to get some rain in the next couple of hours. So do what you have to now.
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 6
Issued at 5:27 pm EST on Saturday 25 March 2017
Tropical Cyclone Debbie is expected to cross the coast between Townsville and
Proserpine on Tuesday morning, most likely as a CATEGORY 4 tropical cyclone,
with wind gusts up to 260 kilometres per hour near the centre.
K.J.
At this stage there is a lot of speculation on that score Happywanderer,
All I've seen so far is this comment...........
Tuesday. Major river flooding may also develop over a broad area next week and
a Flood Watch is current for coastal catchments between Cairns and Gladstone,
extending inland to the eastern Gulf River catchments.
Nothing stated so far regarding wind .inland.
We are moving from Mackay to Moranbah tomorrow to be away from the storm. Will sit it out there before heading to Townsville which ever way we can.
Latest wind maps shows Charter Towers will cop a direct hit, with winds of over 70 kph on Tue 28th at 2300 hrs,
this of course can change anytime with the Cyclone likely to change it's mind, that's why it's named after a woman !!!
Careful Jim, they alternate these days. What did happen to Caleb? He sort of petered out.....
From Mackay, we don't have a big choice. We don't have the time to go direct north, With the caravan on, we cant go through Eugella NP, have to go south west to Moranbah/Clermont thence to Charters Towers.
Thanks brickies, we have local advise, and are still looking at Moranbah. If you could see our current location.... anything would be better.
Tomorrow morning's predictions will help us decide.
-- Edited by Dunmowin on Saturday 25th of March 2017 11:30:28 PM
Trying to work out where there's a camp on high ground where I would be comfortable for about a week.
He said even here in Monto has flooded with the rain from previous cyclones.
Please everyone who may be affected. This is a serious cyclone. Check BOM for previous cyclone data. Currently in Cairns just a beautiful evening. And many southern places are the same. Complacency is dangerous.
You shouldn't take the warnings lightly, just remember the destruction of Yashi & Larry. Those of us in coastal areas in the south have probably only faced a east coast low and they by themselves are destructive (Newcastle region 2014) a cyclone is 4-5 times worst. Current warnings are flooding from Cairns to Gladstone, not to mention days of a high intensity low afterwards aswell as towns as far west as Charters Towers still expecting the effect of a low level cyclone.
Bom
Watch Zone
remaining coastal areas from Cairns to Ayr including Innisfail and Townsville, extending inland to Charters Towers and Mount Coolon
-- Edited by Kebbin on Sunday 26th of March 2017 09:51:06 AM
For those travelling in North Queensland and have limited data resources I have copied three projected cyclone positions, two with projected position, winds and rainfall on Tuesday.
Projected position of cyclone 4pm Monday 27th
Rain Area on Tuesday morning at 4am and 10am
Projected cyclone position and wind strengths on Tuesday morning at 4am and 10am
Hope this is of some assistance.
Moorey
Latest location of CYCLONE DEBBIE..........
Details of Tropical Cyclone Debbie at 1:00 pm AEST:
Intensity: Category 2, sustained winds near the centre of 110 kilometres per
hour with wind gusts to 155 kilometres per hour.
Location: within 30 kilometres of 18.2 degrees South 151.2 degrees East,
estimated to be 475 kilometres east northeast of Townsville and 370 kilometres
east northeast of Bowen.
Movement: west southwest at 8 kilometres per hour.
K.J.
Feel sorry for the poor buggers that live there
you can do things against cold and heat but nothing against mother nature
So just to recap, here are some of those areas that are at risk in the event of a storm surge. Check your local council website for more maps to make sure you're not in one of those areas. Police and emergency services have also been going door to door to evacuate people, so you should know if you need to leave.
Take care People.
K.J.
Yep, then they reckon it will go inland and turn left, then track straight down to Brisbane !!!
K.J.
This might put a dent in you're theory brickies.............
North Tropical Coast and Tablelands Forecast District.
Issued at 5:16 pm Monday, 27 March 2017.
Synoptic Situation:
As Severe Tropical Cyclone Debbie crosses the central east coast of Queensland,
a strong westerly airflow will develop across the North Tropical Coast district.
Strong and gusty westerly winds will develop during early Tuesday morning with
damaging wind gusts in excess of 90km/hr possible in areas east of the Atherton
Tablelands.
Locations which may be affected include Cairns, Redlynch, Innisfail, Tully,
Gordonvale and Babinda.
K.J.
More worries, just received an Email from my Brother, he is currently on the coast, about a couple of hundred clicks, South of the predicted landfall of this Cyclone, they are in their caravan,
He's a bit too complacent about the danger of this Cyclone, reckons "She'll be right" they are heading inland tomorrow !!!
I hope we hear from them again !!!!
K.J.
Although it hits land tomorrow morning some inland towns eg Emerald won't get rain till Thursday so they've got plenty of time to find a safe place.